Middle Eastern Studies Journal

Issue 49

 

 

 

 

Editorial

Editorial

Palestinian Compass in Foggy Climate

Editor in Chief

Research & Studies

The Reformist Movement in Iran: A Future Preview

 Sa'ed Ben Nami

Turkish-Israeli Relations between Tension and Stability

Khaled Abu El-Hassan

Reports And Articles

Obama’s Initiative for Peace in the Region: Opportunities and Trends

Ali Bakeer

Iran and Turkey in the Middle East: Exchange of Interests or Balance of Roles

Sameer Salha

The Pan-Arab Dimension of the Palestinian Right of Return

Jawad Al-Hamad

Obama's Reconciliatory Message& What the Arabs Require

MESC

The State of Jerusalem (January-March 2009)

Departement of Information at the Jerusalem International Establishment

Fateh Conference: Realities and Horizons

Shaker Al-Jawhari


 
 

Editorial
Abstract :Palestinian Politics Has Lost Direction

         Palestinian politics has been suffering from an obvious lack of vision for a long time. Internal deep disputes for more than 16 years, as well as wide public criticism of the PNA's decision to postpone the discussion of Goldstone's report on war crimes at Gaza against the Israeli leaders by the PNA representative, both may be considered as evidence to the confusion from which the Palestinian leadership suffers.

This confusion is due to different factors, including the relationship with the USA, security coordination with Israel, the personal interests of some prominent figures in the Palestinian leadership, the refusal of the outcomes of political pluralism by the Fatah movement as in the elections of 2006, failure to contain the Arab and Islamic support for the Palestinian cause and to protect Palestinian vital interests.

This deviation from national Palestinian interests to personal or factional interests has become the political behavioral style of Palestinian leadership.

It seems that the moment of truth has come to change the failed leadership after 16 years of missed chances. It is the responsibility of civil society, the intellectuals, the political and social forces as well as the resistance factions in the Palestinian and Arab communities to take action. Otherwise things are going to get worse for Palestinian internal and external politics.

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Research & Studies

Abstract :Piracy Reformist Movement in Iran: A Future Preview

The study examines the accomplishments of the reformist government on the national and international levels. On the national level, the complicated nuclear agenda was the most obvious which the reformist government could politicise. It also managed to contain the international reactions as well as avoid the losses following the sudden uncovering of secret nuclear activities in 2002. On the international level, foreign relations were the most obvious, where the reformist government in President Muhammad Khatemi's term adopted and excelled in applying the "elimination of tension" slogan. The study also discusses the future preview of the Iranian reformist movement.

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Abstract : Turkish-Israeli Relations: Between Tension and Stability

Turkish-Israeli relations have witnessed tension and stability. The roots of these relations, especially the Ottoman stance towards an Israeli presence in Palestine, are explored. This will set a number of indispensable facts which answer several questions with regard to the issue. Scientific methodology and reliable information are the basis for this study.

The conference held by Jews in the Swiss city of Basel in 1897 was the beginning of the establishment of Turkish-Israeli relations. Apart from the details of the conference, it can be argued that the recommendations were a serious call to the Turkish Ottoman nation at the time to take precautions against those people. The reason is that the participants were plotting to bring the Ottoman empire to an end – which they managed to achieve in about a quarter of a century. Not only this, they overruled Turkey itself, as they established secularism led by Mustafa Kamal Ataturk (1881-1938), leaving a strong, organized community of Dunma Jews. In fact, that did not come out of the blue; they had been planning for it for centuries.

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Reports And Articles

Abstract : Obama’s Initiative for Peace in the Region: Opportunities and Trends

This article discusses the peace process in Middle East and the importance of success. The newly elected president Barack Obama deals with the peace process from a different perspective. The new approach of the U.S. administration prioritises the peace process. Achieving peace between Arabs and Israel will lead to better U.S. national security and more effectively protect U.S. interests in the region.

The article sets out the background of Arabic demands for a just and comprehensive peace in the region in accordance with resolutions of international legitimacy, and the Arabic peace initiative which offers formal recognition of Israel and normalization of relations only when Israel fulfills it is commitments, without evasion or equivocation. Recently the Arab States expressed a unified position to the U.S. administration regarding this issue.

The author argues that Israel is not serious about the peace process and always adopts a policy of prevarication and obstruction. Tel Aviv prefers the situation of neither big war with the Arab States nor a just and comprehensive peace. This is the best result for Israel as it can survive and be a leading power in the region, because it is obvious that peace will neutralize its military power, restrict its options and limit the role of her aggressive policy in the region.

The chances of success for Obama’s initiative are examined. The Arabs refuse to be dragged into further concessions while Israel continues to build illegal settlements, continues its occupation, fails to respond to Obama’s initiative and to implement fully the Arab initiative.

The article highlights two possible results of the failure in the current efforts to reach a just and comprehensive peace with the two states solution. One of them is to push Arabs to withdraw peace initiative in order to have more options and to present Israel with new developments, which could lead also to more violence in the region. A war might occur in the region if the initiative fails.

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Abstract : Iran and Turkey Exchange of Interests or Balance of Roles?

With the arrival of the Turks in Central Asia in the 16th and 17th centuries, the Turkish and Iranian civilisations met, leading to an overlap of relations and interests for hundreds of years. Nowadays, the "zero problems with neighbours" slogan raised 6 years ago by the engineer of Turkish foreign policy, Professor Ahmed Davud Uglu, did not manage to eliminate the mutual suspicions between the two countries. The long years of dispute between Turkey and most of its neighbours have come to an end because the leadership of the AKP party decided to start a new era of relations. There have been enduring problems with Ankara associated with borders, religion and history, leading to many wars and crises.

Turkish-Iranian relations seem to be the only exception. In spite of centuries of neighbourhood between the two most significant civilizations and regional powers of the Middle East, and in spite of several problems between them, they have so far avoided a major military confrontation. They have adopted a carrot-and-stick policy in their relations, allowing them to work out their problems and move forward in protecting their interests and follow a policy of moderation and balance.

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Abstract : The Arab Dimension of the Palestinian Right of Return

Apart from the several dimensions of the right of return for Palestinians whether scattered throughout the world or refugees, and the integrated dimensions of both the absence or prohibition of practice of this right, the Arab dimension of the right of return represents one of the elements of the struggle for its realization, as the pan-Arab aspect of the Palestinian cause is the very same of that of the Palestinian right of return.

Although the Arab League, the Arab summits and the public Arab conferences continue to stress the right of return as well as a solution to the refugee issue, a number of developments have changed the Arab attitude towards the problem. At first, it was a decisive stance favouring the return of refugees. Then, it started to look for a 'just' solution for the refugee issue. The Arabs were also obliged to address the issue as an Arab, Palestinian problem, irrespective of the commitments of the international community and Israel, which led the right of return to be ignored in other peace tracks aimed at solving the Arab-Israeli conflict. Therefore, talking about the Arab dimension of the right of return necessarily emphasises the significance of the Arab stance and policies, highlighting the responsibilities laid by the refugee issue on the shoulders of the governments and peoples of the Arab nation.

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Abstract : The Pan-Arab Dimension of the Palestinian Right of Return

On 16 June 2009, in its headquarters in Amman, The Middle East Studies Centre held a seminar entitled "Obama's Reconciliatory Message and What Is Required by the Arabs". Three main topics were examined: "The Message of Reconciliation in Obama's Speech: Foundations, Results and How the Arabs Should Deal with It"; "The Obstacles to Obama's Reconciliatory Message and How the Arabs Should Deal with Them": and "The Arab World's Expectations from the New US Administration and the Features of the Arab Strategy to Achieve Them". The seminar concluded with a general discussion of the evaluation of the Arab attitude and their vision that can make use of the shift in the US discourse.

The participants agreed that the US president Barack Obama – after his latest speech to the Arabs and Muslims in the University of Cairo on 4 June 2009 – was expecting Arab and Islamic initiatives to push him to rebuild strong relations between the US and the Arab, Islamic world. This is likely to serve some of the Arabs' and Muslims' interests as well as assist in solving their problems at all levels, most importantly the Israeli occupation.

They also agreed on the obligation of the influential Arab systems and powers to present a unified Arab vision in a bid to invest the reconciliatory tone in Obama's speech. We cannot – as Arabs and Muslims – expect from the new US administration any assistance, solutions or response to our demands without us organising ourselves and agreeing on one single vision.

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Abstract : The State of Jerusalem Report January-March 2009 Department of Information at the Jerusalem International Establishment

The State of Jerusalem Report issued by the Department of Information at the Jerusalem International Establishment presents accurate data about the situation of the city in order to anticipate the following stage, enabling the decision-makers and those in power to take correct practical position and decisions.

The report discusses the development of the confrontation in Jerusalem on the religious, cultural and demographic levels, in addition to the reality of the organisations working in the city and the main sponsors.

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Abstract : The Fateh Conference and the Future of the Palestinian Cause: Reality and Expectations

Irrespective of the content and approach, the Sixth General Conference of the Fateh Movement represents a significant negative turn for the national struggle. It anticipates other steps in light of the preceding indications that necessitated the organising of the conference in the settings of time and place.

It was inevitable to hold the conference at that time, but not on the former Palestinian president Yasser Arafat's birthday as the current president of the Palestinian Authority Mahmoud Abbas asserted – which is only a superficial reason. Rather, it was held to preceed the US initiative for a final political settlement to the Palestinian issue. The project was supposed to be referred to by the US president in his speech in the opening session of the present year's term of the United Nations General Assembly in September 2009.

Therefore, the conference was required to meet American-Israeli demands on the eve of the President Barack Obama's speech.

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